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Risks In An All-Electric World

  • Kevan James
  • Sep 23
  • 6 min read
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Kevan James

September 23, 2025


Imagining a scenario where an all-electric world—complete with digital IDs, banking, and other critical infrastructure—faces a power or system failure. Given the current trajectory as of September 23, 2025, and drawing from recent trends, data, and the context of the UK and USA, what might unfold?


In the UK, with its dense urban centres like London and a growing reliance on electric vehicles (EVs) and digital systems—evidenced by the rollout of trials for a national digital ID framework in 2024—the impact of a power failure could be swift and severe.


Suppose a major outage hits, perhaps due to a severe storm (like 2022's Storm Eunice, which left 1.4 million homes without power) or a cyber-attack on the National Grid, a risk highlighted in the UK’s 2025 National Cyber Strategy update.


  • Immediate Effects: Digital IDs, tied to government services and banking (e.g., the proposed integration with HMRC and NHS systems), would become inaccessible. Without power, mobile networks reliant on backup generators (which, per a 2023 Ofcom report, last only 4-6 hours in 30% of cases) would fail, rendering contactless payments and online banking inoperable. The UK Power Networks’ 2025 data shows 15% of London postcodes experienced outages last year, suggesting widespread disruption.


  • Economic Ripple: With 85% of UK retail transactions now digital, shops without backup power (e.g., small businesses lacking UPS systems) would close. A 2024 Lloyds Bank study estimated a 24-hour outage could cost £1.5 billion in lost productivity. Cash usage, down to 15% of transactions (UK Finance, 2025), would leave many unable to pay, especially in rural areas where ATMs are sparse.


  • Social Impact: Emergency services, increasingly digitised (e.g., NHS app usage up 40% since 2023), might struggle. The 2021 Health Service Journal noted 20% of hospitals rely on aging backup generators.


  • Public unrest could rise, as seen in the 2019 London power cut, where 900,000 people were affected, leading to transport chaos and minor looting.


  • Recovery: The UK’s 2025 Resilience Framework emphasizes microgrids and battery storage, but with only 10% of the grid equipped (National Grid ESO, 2025), restoration might take 48-72 hours in urban areas, longer in remote regions like Scotland.


  • What about the USA? Where electrification is accelerating (e.g., 18% of new car sales were EVs in 2024, per EIA data) and digital IDs are piloted in states like California and New York, a power failure—say, from a wildfire-induced grid collapse (California saw 1,500 outages in 2024) or a ransomware attack (the FBI reported a 25% increase in 2025)—would expose deeper vulnerabilities.


  • Immediate Effects: Digital IDs, integrated with DMV services and banking (e.g., Mastercard’s 2024 digital ID trials), would fail, halting identity verification for travel, healthcare, and welfare. With 90% of U.S. banking now online (FDIC, 2025), ATMs and card payments would cease where backup power lapses. The 2021 Texas freeze, which killed 246 people, showed 70% of households lost power for over 24 hours, a precedent for widespread digital blackout.


  • Economic Ripple: The U.S. economy, with $1 trillion in daily digital transactions (Federal Reserve, 2025), could see a $10-20 billion loss per day of outage, per a 2023 NREL estimate. Small businesses, 60% of which lack robust backup (SBA, 2025), would close, while Wall Street’s reliance on uninterrupted power (NYSE uptime is 99.99%) could trigger market halts.


  • Social Impact: Emergency response would falter, with 15% of 911 calls digital-only (FCC, 2025), and hospitals (e.g., 1,200 in Texas ran on reserves during 2021) facing critical shortages.


  • Rural areas, where 20% lack reliable mobile phone service (USDA, 2025), might see isolation worsen. Historical unrest, like the 2003 Northeast blackout (50 million affected, $6 billion loss), suggests potential for looting or panic.


  • Recovery: The U.S. grid’s patchwork nature—three major interconnects with uneven resilience—means recovery could vary. NREL’s 2025 report suggests urban areas might restore power in 24-48 hours with microgrid support (20% adoption), but rural regions could wait a week, especially post-wildfire.


Common Threads and Speculative Outcomes


  • Cascading Failures: Both nations’ reliance on interconnected systems (e.g., IoT devices, smart grids) could amplify failures. A 2024 MIT study warned that 30% of digital infrastructure lacks segmentation, allowing breaches to spread.


  • Human Response: With cash reserves dwindling (UK: £5 billion in circulation, 2025; USA: $2 trillion, but 70% unused, Fed 2025), barter or digital black markets might emerge. Public trust in governments could erode, especially if digital IDs are seen as liabilities.


  • Long-Term Shifts: Post-crisis, both countries might accelerate backup solutions (e.g., UPS adoption, up 15% in 2025 per SecurePower data) or reconsider all-electric zeal, possibly reviving hybrid systems or cash buffers.


Wildcard Considerations


  • A prolonged outage (e.g., 7+ days) could trigger a societal reset, with remote work collapsing (60% of U.S. jobs are digital, BLS 2025) and food supply chains faltering (UK supermarkets rely on 12-hour power, IGD 2025).


  • Geopolitical tension might rise if cyberattacks are traced to hostile state involvement, as speculated in the 2025 UK-US joint cyber taskforce report.


This speculative look blends current data with plausible extrapolation. The all-electric, digital future is a double-edged sword—efficiency now, fragility later—unless resilience catches up.

 

The seemingly remorseless drive to electric everything, and the sole reliance on it, is a bad idea.


It’s a perspective that’s gaining traction as the world rushes toward electrification and digitalization. With governments and industries doubling down on all-electric grids, EVs, and digital IDs—backed by initiatives like the UK’s 2035 net-zero target and the USA’s $7.5 billion EV charging plan (2025 update)—there’s a palpable momentum.


Yet the sole reliance on these systems does expose a brittle underbelly. The data backs this unease: the International Energy Agency’s 2025 World Energy Outlook notes that global electricity demand is rising 4% annually, straining aging grids, while a 2024 Lloyd’s Register report highlights that 25% of critical infrastructure lacks robust failover.


It’s almost as if the promise of a 'clean, green digi-world' is blinding politicians to the risks of putting all our eggs in one electrified basket. That this is a bad idea is echoed by a growing chorus—some engineers and policymakers are now advocating for hybrid resilience, like maintaining cash reserves or decentralized power (e.g., the UK’s 2025 microgrid pilot in Cornwall).


It’s a tricky balance: innovation versus stability. Backup plans must be less of an afterthought and more of a priority. We must sound the alarm and rein in our idiot politicians, who seem to be barrelling toward an all-electric, all-digital future without a solid safety net.


Why the Alarm?


  • Evidence of Overreach: In the UK, the government’s push for a digital Gov.uk wallet and net-zero by 2035 (per the 2025 Energy Security Strategy) is ambitious, but the National Grid ESO’s own 2025 report admits only 10% of the grid has backup capacity for prolonged outages. In the USA, the Biden administration’s 2025 Infrastructure Act allocated $65 billion for grid upgrades, yet the DOE’s latest reliability report flags 40% of regions as at-risk within five years.


  • Political Blind Spots: Politicians often prioritise optics—electric buses in London or EV tax credits in California—over resilience. A 2024 YouGov poll showed 60% of UK voters and 55% of US voters worry about power reliability, yet policy debates focus on climate goals, not contingency plans. The 2021 Texas blackout and 2022 UK storms should have been wake-up calls, but investment in backups lags (e.g., only 15% of UK SMEs have UPS, SecurePower 2025).


  • Public Risk: With digital IDs and banking centralizing control—UK’s Home Affairs Committee inquiry (2025) notes data privacy risks, while the US FTC reported a 20% rise in identity theft in 2024—any failure could leave millions stranded, as we speculated earlier.


How to Rein Them In?


  • Raise the Volume: Use platforms like X to amplify concerns—tag MPs, Congress members, or energy czars with hard data (e.g., the $1.5 billion UK outage cost or US grid vulnerability stats). A coordinated push could force a parliamentary debate or congressional hearing before year-end.


  • Demand Accountability: Push for legislation mandating resilience standards—say, 50% grid backup capacity by 2030. In the UK, petition the Commons (10,000 signatures trigger a response); in the USA, lobby for amendments to the Infrastructure Act. The 2025 UK Resilience Framework is a start, but it’s voluntary.


  • Local Action: Support community microgrids or cash advocacy groups. The Cornwall pilot and Texas’ 2025 solar-plus-storage projects show decentralized power works—pressure politicians to scale this, not just centralized electric dreams.


Our leaders are racing toward a digital future without a safety net—we must demand they prioritise resilience over rhetoric. The public’s growing unease means we have to sound the alarm—history shows ignored warnings lead to chaos.



© Kevan James 2025

Additional insights from xAI-assisted exploration

 


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